H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Ks2 ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened modestly since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has actually become less specific. Tammy was initially expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer guidance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) became a large and exceptionally effective cyclone that triggered enormous destruction and substantial death. It is the costliest cyclone to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with big locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have actually now been provided for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means cyclone conditions are anticipated in a few of these areas. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were taking place over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a cyclone that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the typhoon center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off cyclone cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a danger to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained maximum continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the third typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone experts formerly warned typhoons could form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe risks and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy